Keys on the NHL Navigating through a Great Unknown
As the Coronavirus has put North America on lockdown with no end in sight, the NHL, MLB and NBA are living in a period of unknown like the rest of us are.
We’re months away from sports returning and it’s going to be even longer for a complete normal way of life returning.
With a vaccine several months away and experts in the medical field believing the virus may return again in the fall before a vaccine will be available, this is just such unchartered waters for professional leagues and all have to be prepared for a number of different scenarios to play out in the coming months.
At the end of the day, if the professional leagues want to salvage their seasons, they’ve had to come to accept the reality that playing without fans is going to be about the only option to move forward.
The NBA and MLB can get away financially for stretches without fans and gate revenue. The NHL, not so much. The National Hockey League relies so heavily on gate revenue. Even the Pittsburgh Penguins who have a billionaire owner in Ron Burkle and spend to the cap each season in the Crosby era, Pittsburgh’s current structure relies heavily on getting the gate revenue of two playoff rounds.
The NHL being so reliant on gate revenue had fears among teams that the longer this goes on, the higher of a likelihood the top NHL decision makers would decide to just punt on the season.
That, however, is not expected to be the case.
All of the NHL’s planning ahead is getting a full 2020-2021 season-in but there is a strong appetite to finish the 2019-2020 season even with it more evident to the league, they’ll be finishing the season most likely at a couple neutral sites with little to no fans being permitted to attend.
Some of the NHL’s best case scenario models for completing this season is having a 1-2 week training camp beginning in early-mid July (2 weeks might be a stretch, NHL had a six day camp for 2012-2013 shortened season), followed by some type of regular season-exhibition schedule (no more than a handful of games) and an unorthodox playoffs running August – early/mid October, with the 2020-2021 season starting in mid-to-late November. The NHL believes they could start the 2020-2021 season even as late as Thanksgiving 2020 and still be able to hammer out an 82 game season if there’s obviously not another bad outbreak of the coronavirus in the fall/winter.
But, everything is such a guessing game at this point, even for the experts in this field.
Where are things leaning with playoff scenarios?
NHL General Managers are strongly pushing a 24-team playoff, 12 teams from each conference based on winning percentage. The leaked memos from a few weeks ago had the top four teams in each conference getting an automatic bye that in one popular scenario among executives had a No.5 Pittsburgh vs No. 12. Montreal matchup for example in a shortened series (3 games).
That would put the likes of big market teams in Montreal, New York Rangers and Chicago in the playoffs which front office types see as a great avenue to go for the league.
Getting Gary Bettman and Bill Daly on board is another story. Despite the current situation, the league’s top decision makers have been lukewarm about any scenarios of more than 16 teams, sources say.
With the NHL’s top decision makers (as of right now) believing the only way to finish the season is having the 2020 playoffs being played at 2-4 neutral sites, the league is open minded about a 1-16 tournament (based on points percentage) with no conferences.
Therefore, the top 16 teams regardless of conference affiliation get in, which would reward the stronger Eastern Conference.
It’s an exciting option for the league to go. If you’re going to have a post-season at neutral sites, might as well get creative and do something different for once.
Whether the league goes this route or sticks with the current playoff system, the most contentious discussions among club officials is how you get to 16 teams if there’s no time for a fair amount of regular season games to settle the group of teams who were primed to battle for the final couple playoff spots.
An ideal route for the league is this:
Playoff Proposal at Select Neutral Venues
1. 1-16 Playoff Field: : 1 vs 16, 2 vs 15, 3 vs 14, ect. Automatic playoff spot for teams with a points percentage .575 or higher: This would give automatic bids to:
1. Boston (.714)
2. ST. Louis (.662)
3. Tampa Bay (.657)
4. Colorado (.657)
5. Washington (.652)
6. Philadelphia (.645)
7. Pittsburgh (.623)
8. Vegas (.606)
9. Carolina (.596)
10. Dallas (.594)
11. New York Islanders (.588)
12. Edmonton (.585)
13. Toronto (.579)
14. Columbus (.579)
15.
16.
#2. 5 Game exhibition Schedule for the 14 teams receiving automatic spots in the playoffs.
#3. Play-In System: Cap off teams under consideration for a playoff spot at a .525 points percentage. Capping off at a .560 points percentage would be ideal but to make the numbers work, going eight teams deep for a play-in is about as fair as you can do it for teams prior to the league suspension that had a legitimate shot at winning a final playoff spot. Out of 144 teams to qualify for the post-season (2010-2011 season through 2018-2019 season) only three teams have made the playoffs with a points percentage of .560 or lower, the Colorado Avalanche in 2018-2019 (.549%), Minnesota Wild (.530%) in 2015-2016 and the Dallas Stars (.555%) in 2013-2014.
Play-In Prosposal
*2 exhibition game for the eight qualifying teams.
Play-In Rounds:
RD 1 Best-of-3
1. Florida Panthers (.565, 30 RW)
2. Nashville Predators (.565, 28 RW)
3. Vancouver Canucks (.565, 27 RW)
4. New York Rangers (.564, 31 RW)
5. Calgary Flames (.564, 25 RW)
6. Winnipeg Jets (.563, 30 RW)
7. Minnesota Wild (.558, 30 RW)
8. Arizona Coyotes (.529, 26 RW)
FLA vs ARI
NSH vs MIN
VAN vs WPG
NYR vs CGY
RD 2 Final Four: Single Elimination (Berth for playoff spot )
2020 Playoffs
Round 1 Best-of-5
Round 2 Best-of-7
Round 3 Best-of-7
Round 4 Best-of-7
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President Obama built a thriving economy after W’s recession. Trump comes in and destroys it in record time. As they say, elections have consequences.
Whats building economy for democRatS. Handing out money?
Before Obama came all 43 presidents combined made 12 trillion debt for states. Obama alone added another 8 trillion. Now Trump spending because of the corona virus
send the entire NHL to lake placid NY. quarantine every organization for 14 days. don’t let anyone in or out. finish the season and start the playoffs. it would be really fun. you could start games at 9am and play until midnight. everyone is home to watch and it would be awesome. it would be a true tornament.
It’s always 1980 in Yoda’s world.
Do you believe in morons? Yes!
It’s good to see a little break and COVID19 didn’t kill the stupidity on this site.
It’s because npl is at a FEMA camp and does not get access of internet that often. And as for zeroTool. He is staying at Trudeau’s place. Making sure he has a different pair of socks each day for his speeches
Scott Steiner can beat COVID19 on his worst day.
Just cancel the season for the love of God
I agree. Call it a season. Figure out how the draft is going to work on focus on next year.
Well the stupid country voted for him…he secured electrical college votes so some dumb asses did this.. We should also look at the fucking (supposedly smartest andmost advanced country in the world) China. That dumb ass government (who knows everything that goes on) and the stupid people there that eat infected bats, dogs and other infected wild animals. Hey President Chi you make Trump look smart and that not easy. Here is thought how about you close down all those wet markets that sell the diseased bats, snakes, and dogs..?? Many are still opening or reopening and this will happen… Read more »
Hockey talk only.
Agreed!!
this is one of the few times I have mentioned anything political…..in fact the only time
You should be telling all the regulars that consistently talk politics Trudeau trump all that stuff..
Absolutely terrible how much blood is on Trump’s hands. President Obama would have never let this get so bad.
They just want old people and fat people to die.
This virus is dangerous for people that is diabetic as well.
Make sure fatso you are well quarantined.
Obama doesn’t have any Blood on his hands right .
Every president does.
Hockey talk only…
You have angered Sam(e)’s thumb. Now those thumbs down are on your hands!!!
Presidents calls sport League commissioners this includes NASCAR PGA, NFL, NBA,WNBA NHL,MLB. UFC and WWE
What did the presidents call them?
And how many presidents were there?
Trump told them all he could beat Scott Steiner on his worst day.
He also applauded Malkin on his commitment to the Penguins and America, as well as joked that Montreal might actually get into the playoffs if they expand them.
Stick to hockey! .Isn’t that what you told me?
I find your lack of sarcasm disturbing.
Stick to hockey…
I want to know what the presidents called them!
Anyone here play FHM 6 been in some online leagues kind of fun between shopping trips.
Thinking outside the box good idea can’t believe NHL would come up with something like this. Hope all of you are well even the one’s hiding under you beds.
Play the playoffs so the pens get smoked in round one and get rid of the coach.
Like you said they would in 16 and 17, right host? I thought they weren’t getting in to begin with?
they wouldn’t get in if they had to play all 82 games.
Lol riiiiiight. You’re the USA version of Sam.
And you are the dumb version of Canadian PM Trudeau
Does that mean you’re saying Trudeau is smart?
Don’t confuse him.
Never said that A-hole I said they wouldn’t go far learn to read bro!!!
I agree with you if the playoffs were to start they wouldn’t go far and that pains me…
I disagree with you Sullivan has been terrific this year keeping a injury riddled sinking ship in the top 5…..
– We wont win because Kris LeTurnover’s manic bi-polar play.
– Peterson or Johnson will be in the top 4 somehow as usual.
– Schultz isn’t Schultz of 2016.
– The defense was not upgraded at the deadline.
Just cancel the season. Keep everyone safe.
TBH I think its going to end up being canceled and if we are lucky start next year. Talk to an NCAA Football coach I know there is worry their season could be delayed till October. Doesn’t bode well for Spring playoffs this year,
I said this 3 weeks ago…. we may not even one the next season on time….
I miss hockey but want everyone to be safe… even tbj233 and Camrod of course…….
Wow crazy playoff scenario!! I still don’t think basketball or hockey will continue this season. (hope so) There are some things more important right now….
we will see…
Hey D. I think you should send Hockey pucks with your logo to every member on this site.
But but but subban thinks there should be 31 teams in the playoffs
You’re the only one that cares. And the only racist here.