Penguins – Blue Jackets Fallout
Statement game from the Penguins in Tuesday Night’s 4-1 win over the Blue Jackets?
The eye test says yes, the analytics say no.
One analytic site’s model says the Penguins should have lost 3-2.
Columbus had a 39-27 edge in shots and a massive +30 (60-30) edge in 5 vs 5 shot attempts. Other positives for Columbus, they limited Sidney Crosby to being on the ice for just 6 Shot Attempts For at even strength and nearly every Penguins line/D-pair was bleeding shot attempts against.
The underlying numbers strongly favored the Blue Jackets and a growing trend for the injury ravished Penguins is getting out-corsied on a nightly basis. Will that eventually catch up to the Penguins?
This was a game, though, where the possession numbers don’t tell much of the story.
The Penguins felt in control of the game from the get-go. Columbus was held without a shot for the first seven minutes of the period, were out-chanced 7-2 through the first 15 minutes of play and early on the Blue Jackets took two penalties.
Pittsburgh had some glorious chances to break the game wide open in the first, highlighted by Conor Sheary getting rob with a glove side from Sergei Bobrovsky on the man advantage.
When Columbus began tilting the ice in a big way in the second period, Pittsburgh then answered with Matt Murray taking control of the game.
Pittsburgh had an answer all game for the Blue Jackets. They came out dictating the play with their speed and then handed the game over to Murray.
In a results business, Pittsburgh outscored Columbus 4-0 at even strength, three goals at 5 vs 5, one at 4 vs 4.
Pittsburgh’s best players also produced, despite playing more of the night in the other end.
Jake Guentzel a goal and assist, Sidney Crosby a two assist game.
And then there’s the fourth line of Scott Wilson – Carter Rowney – Josh Archibald.
They all had terrible possession numbers. Wilson and Archibald at 24% (7/22).
Yet, both had impactful games offensively.
Off a turnover, the line produced a first period goal with Carter Rowney redirecting a Scott Wilson shot from the corner.
The speed element from Josh Archibald had the line creating chances as Pittsburgh is getting more of a speed presence with Archibald in the lineup compared to playing Oskar Sundqvist last week.
One negative for the Penguins was getting banged around as Matt Cullen and Bryan Rust each left the game due to injuries.
Matt Cullen took a hard clean hit from Scott Hartnell where Cullen ducked to avoid the hit and got his head rung.
CBJ in deep trouble if Werenski, Murray are not ready next week
— Coming in this game was more about the Blue Jackets than the Penguins. Pittsburgh had an opportunity to plant a seed into the head of the reeling Blue Jackets who have now lost four in a row and can’t put the puck in the net.
And what did we learn from last night?
The Penguins can beat the Blue Jackets in a first round series with or without Kris Letang.
Meanwhile, the Blue Jackets have no shot to beat the Penguins four out of seven times if defensemen Zach Werenski and Ryan Murray are not healthy for the post-season.
While the Blue Jackets may still play a dump and chase game with some of their lines, the resurgence they’ve had this season has been fueled by their blue line in quickly turning defense into offense. It was lost last night. Despite a lot of the numbers favoring them, they had no transition game.
Last night Columbus dressed:
Scott Harrington – Seth Jones
Kyle Quincey – Jack Johnson
Markus Nutivaara – David Savard
The belief is Werenski and Murray will be back but with the Penguins expecting to have Malkin back, it would be matchup galore favoring the Penguins if Werenski and Murray are out. To read this insider news, subscribe to get “Inside Access”!
At least Beau Bennett finally has someone to laugh at.
By the way – I believe Mark Madden called this.
You are correct sir.
“ravaged” not “ravished”. ..again
LeGlass out 4-6 months. Again should have traded him years ago, already stealing a paycheck for next season.
And malkin is not While he plays on 3rd line and takes penalty like a 4th liner
He needs to go – he’s useless. Absolute waste.
I don’t think even Vegas would take him if he could be exposed in the expansion draft.
They probably would – then again, having $7.25 million sipping merlot in the press box doesn’t hurt them as much – they’ll have plenty of additional cap space to play with.
why did st.bleury get the masterton nomination? mario gets hodgekins, kessel gets testicular cancer, maatta gets cancer, and you get st.bleury who still is able to smile when he was relegated to backup duty….what an embarrassment!
Rumor was it took over a week for the chaffing on his dick to heal after rogering your shitt cave so bad – seems reasonable.
conor sheary getting rob with a glove side
I really think once playoffs start we role these lines:
1st: Guentzel – Crosby – Sheary
2nd: Rust – Malkin – Kessel
3rd: Cullen – Boninio – Horny
4th: Kunackl – Wilson – Archy
Maybe put Cullen on the 4th as Center and bump up Kunackl or Wilson? Thoughts?
I really think the 1st line can’t be touched. Chemistry is similar to HBK. The fourth line looked great last night with speed.
Does Wilson play center? I’m honestly probably in the minority here – I would break up the first line. I put Guentzel with Malkin and leave Sheary with Sid, and put Rust back up there (assuming he can walk / skate), like it was for the first half of the season. I also leave Hornqvist with Malkin on that right side, and put Kessel with Bonino.
Analytics are over rated. It is a human game, not a video game. Humans make mistakes, humans over achieve. Trends and streaks change often.